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Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team
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Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team
Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team
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About
Thematic Reports
Flash Reports
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Preparing Ukraine's Farmers for EU Accession – Part I
Thematic Report
11 August 2026
Preparing Ukraine's Farmers for EU Accession – Part I
Thematic Report
11 August 2026

This report explains the European Green Deal and the EU’s Common Agricultural Policy, and what Urkaine’s small farmers will need to meet those requirements without being left behind.

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Thematic Report
11 August 2026
Підготовка українських фермерів до вступу в ЄС – Частина І
Thematic Report
11 August 2026
Підготовка українських фермерів до вступу в ЄС – Частина І
Thematic Report
11 August 2026

Цей звіт охоплює ключові зміни, які Європейський зелений курс і Спільна аграрна політика ЄС принесуть українським фермерам. Він також розглядає, що потрібно малим господарствам для адаптації до нових вимог і використання можливостей європейської інтеграції.

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Thematic Report
11 August 2026
Carbon Markets in Ukraine: A Project Developer's Guide to VCM and Article 6.2
Thematic Report
13 May 2026
Carbon Markets in Ukraine: A Project Developer's Guide to VCM and Article 6.2
Thematic Report
13 May 2026

This paper by the Ukrainian Sustainable Fund, produced with support from Mercy Corps, explores how voluntary carbon markets and Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement can support Ukraine’s green recovery. It provides step-by-step guidance for developing renewable energy, forestry, and agricultural carbon projects and accessing international climate finance.

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Thematic Report
13 May 2026
Bridging Divides: Social Cohesion, Media, and Civil Society in Moldova
Thematic Report
23 March 2026
Bridging Divides: Social Cohesion, Media, and Civil Society in Moldova
Thematic Report
23 March 2026

Moldova's social cohesion is under pressure — from geopolitical divisions and economic inequality to a media environment shaped by disinformation. This report examines how civil society and independent media can help rebuild trust in a country where the institutions meant to bridge divides are themselves struggling for credibility.

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Thematic Report
23 March 2026
Flash Report – Ukraine's Energy Crisis: SMEs Under Pressure
Scenario Report
18 February 2026
Flash Report – Ukraine's Energy Crisis: SMEs Under Pressure
Scenario Report
18 February 2026

Widespread attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure have negatively affected every part of the economy. This is particularly true for the country’s SMEs. This flash report provides a snapshot of how SME’s are coping with extended power outages, higher costs and eroded business confidence.

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Scenario Report
18 February 2026
Ukraine Scenario Report: January–June 2026
Scenario Report
29 January 2026
Ukraine Scenario Report: January–June 2026
Scenario Report
29 January 2026

In February 2026, Russia's invasion of Ukraine enters its fifth year amid intensified military pressure, inconclusive diplomatic engagement, and a severe energy crisis affecting millions. This scenario report sets out four plausible six-month scenarios based on varying interactions between military pressure and state capacity.

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Scenario Report
29 January 2026
Flash Report: Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections and the Impact on Ukraine
Thematic Report
22 September 2025
Flash Report: Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections and the Impact on Ukraine
Thematic Report
22 September 2025

On September 28, 2025, Moldova holds elections that could determine whether it continues toward EU membership or shifts back into Russia’s orbit. This flash report examines the outcomes and what could they mean for Ukraine’s trade, energy ties, refugee protection, and security risks.

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Thematic Report
22 September 2025
Ukraine Scenario Report: August–December 2025
Thematic Report
5 August 2025
Ukraine Scenario Report: August–December 2025
Thematic Report
5 August 2025

In the fourth year of the war, Ukraine faces a drastically different political environment. This report outlines three scenarios for the final six months of 2025. For each scenario, this report will assess possible military developments and their subsequent humanitarian impacts. It will also examine the broader economic, social, and political consequences.

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Thematic Report
5 August 2025
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