Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Carbon Markets in Ukraine: A Project Developer's Guide to VCM and Article 6.2

This paper by the Ukrainian Sustainable Fund, produced with support from Mercy Corps, explores how voluntary carbon markets and Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement can support Ukraine’s green recovery. It provides step-by-step guidance for developing renewable energy, forestry, and agricultural carbon projects and accessing international climate finance.

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Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Bridging Divides: Social Cohesion, Media, and Civil Society in Moldova

Moldova's social cohesion is under pressure — from geopolitical divisions and economic inequality to a media environment shaped by disinformation. This report examines how civil society and independent media can help rebuild trust in a country where the institutions meant to bridge divides are themselves struggling for credibility.

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Scenario Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Scenario Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Ukraine Scenario Report: January–June 2026

In February 2026, Russia's invasion of Ukraine enters its fifth year amid intensified military pressure, inconclusive diplomatic engagement, and a severe energy crisis affecting millions. This scenario report sets out four plausible six-month scenarios based on varying interactions between military pressure and state capacity.

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Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Ukraine Scenario Report: August–December 2025

In the fourth year of the war, Ukraine faces a drastically different political environment. This report outlines three scenarios for the final six months of 2025. For each scenario, this report will assess possible military developments and their subsequent humanitarian impacts. It will also examine the broader economic, social, and political consequences.

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Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Ukraine’s Energy Crisis: Impact on Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises

Due to the impact of the full-scale war, Ukraine’s power generation capacity remains impaired. This report explores how the energy crisis has affected the country’s SMEs. We identify businesses’ primary needs and the obstacles they face in attempting to achieve energy self-sufficiency. We also provide targeted recommendations to help the international community support SMEs in strengthening energy resilience, sustaining operations, and reducing vulnerabilities.

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Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Енергетична криза в Україні: Вплив на малі та середні підприємства

 У зв’язку з повномасштабною війною спроможність України виробляти електроенергію залишається обмеженою. У цьому звіті досліджується, як енергетична криза вплинула на МСП в Україні. Ми визначаємо основні потреби бізнесу та перешкоди, з якими вони стикаються у спробах досягнути енергетичної незалежності. Ми також надаємо рекомендації, щоб допомогти міжнародним організаціям та донорам підтримати МСП у зміцненні енергетичної стійкості.

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Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team Thematic Report Ukraine Crisis Analysis Team

Ukraine’s Energy Crisis: Impact on Farmers

Since the start of the full-scale war, missile and drone strikes have diminished Ukraine's energy generation capabilities. Small- and medium-sized farmers in particular are struggling with the resulting blackouts. This report examines the challenges facing farmers, their coping strategies, and the availability and effectiveness of support mechanisms. It offers considerations for programmatic interventions and looks ahead to what small- and medium-sized farms might encounter in 2025.

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