Ukrainian forces are advancing into Russia’s Kursk Oblast in a strategic move to secure Ukraine’s borders, disrupt Russian supply lines, and shift the conflict onto Russian soil. In response, Russia is redeploying battalions from secondary fronts, though its primary focus remains on Donetsk. The humanitarian situation is critical, with urgent needs for evacuation support, healthcare, and infrastructure protection in Sumy Oblast, as well as the provision of drinking water, food, and hygiene products in Kursk Oblast.

To maintain operational relevance and support preparedness efforts, UACAT conducts a biannual review of these scenarios. This report starts by looking at the political, economic, and regional and international factors that will inform developments in the coming months, starting with the political situation.

"Looking ahead: What changes can aid actors expect in Poland’s humanitarian situation over the next six months? - UACAT Scenario Report

This report examines the challenges facing those attempting to re-enter the workforce in the war-affected oblasts of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk, which collectively have nearly 3.2 million people in need, according to OCHA (see below). It explores the prospects for employment (and self-employment in particular), the development of the micro-business and business sectors, and the obstacles to finding employment.

Ukraine’s economy has suffered since the start of the full-scale war with Russia, with agriculture being especially hard hit. Occupation of agricultural lands, war-related destruction, and population displacement have all contributed to challenging conditions. To build resilience in the face of a protracted war, Ukraine must focus on rebuilding and reorienting its agriculture sector in line with the evolving situation on the ground. This report analyzes the war’s effects on Ukrainian agriculture.

This research report examines how various business sectors have been affected by the war. It specifically addresses the challenges faced by SMEs and looks at current markets and emerging opportunities. The authors carried out a comprehensive analysis of local markets and value chains, focusing on identifying sectors with economic growth potential and assessing transitions that may be required for sectors that have previously been dependent on the Russian and Belarusian markets, focusing in particular on opportunities within the small-scale manufacturing, construction, and retail trade and service-sectors.

"Looking ahead: How will regional, economic, and political dynamics affect Ukraine's front line and the humanitarian situation over the next six months?" - UACAT Scenario Report

This monthly report covers crucial events in Ukraine as well as its neighbors, Poland and Moldova. Topics include: security and access, the diplomatic landscape, economics and development.

This monthly report covers crucial events in Ukraine as well as three of its neighbors, Poland, Moldova, and Slovakia. Topics include: security and access, the diplomatic landscape, economics and development.

This monthly report covers crucial events in Ukraine as well as two of its neighbors, Poland and Moldova. Topics include: security and access, the political landscape, legal issues, economics and development.